Publications
Complete list of publications, working papers, and talks.
Peer-reviewed journal articles, book chapters, working papers, research reports, and conference presentations — chronological with filter by type.
Working papers & preprints
arXiv preprint · 2026
Who Uses AI? Platforms, Workforce, and AI Exposure
arXiv:2605.21743 · cs.AI / econ.GN. AI platform conversation logs partly measure the platform user base rather than the workforce; varying data sources changes employment coefficient estimates by 1.9×, and reweighting to actual workforce shares reduces estimates by 42–93%.
2025
Journal
2024
Journal
Journal
On the Cover: High School Coursetaking Sequence Clusters and Postsecondary Enrollment
Educational Measurement: Issues and Practice, cover feature
Brief
Insights and Implications from Digital Assessment Accessibility and Student Performance
RISEI Lab / Northwestern + AIR summary brief, July 2024
2023
Journal
Journal
Journal
Report
Updated College Enrollment Benchmarks for the Grade 12 NAEP Mathematics Assessment
AIR-NAEP Working Paper 2023-03, American Institutes for Research
2022
Journal
Conference
Rethinking Accessibility: Applications in Educational Data Mining
Workshop, 15th International Conference on Educational Data Mining (EDM 2022)
Conference
The Relationship Between Algebra Skills, NAEP Performance, and Postsecondary Outcomes
AERA Annual Meeting 2022
Conference
Measuring High School Curriculum: How Do Different Methods Compare?
AERA Annual Meeting
2021
Report
College Enrollment Benchmarks for the NAEP Grade 12 Mathematics Assessment
American Institutes for Research
Report
Why Does High School Coursework Matter? The Case for Increasing Exposure to Advanced Courses
American Institutes for Research
Report
Examining the Relationship Between STEM Coursetaking in High School and Grade 12 NAEP Mathematics Performance
American Institutes for Research
Report
Mathematics Motivation and Its Relationship with Mathematics Performance
American Institutes for Research
Conference
Impact of high school coursework on postsecondary outcomes for students with disabilities
Society for Research on Educational Effectiveness, Arlington, VA
Conference
High school dropout prediction using course-taking patterns
National Council on Measurement in Education (NCME)
Conference
What is the impact of high school coursework on postsecondary outcomes? Evidence from HSLS:09
Association for Education Finance and Policy (AEFP)
Conference
The toolbox reconstructed: High school curriculum intensity and postsecondary outcomes
AERA Annual Meeting
Conference
High school course-taking patterns and postsecondary outcomes: Evidence from HSLS:09
AERA Annual Meeting
2020
Chapter
Mathematics Identity, Self-Efficacy, and Interest and Their Relationships to Mathematics Achievement: A Longitudinal Analysis
In Serpe, R., Stryker, R., & Powell, B. (Eds.), Identity and Symbolic Interaction, Springer
Report
SSI Youth Employment Evidence
Report prepared for the Social Security Administration (SSA) Office of Research, Evaluation and Statistics
Conference
HighScope Preschool Curriculum Efficacy Study
National Research Conference on Early Childhood; Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management (APPAM); Society for Research in Child Development (SRCD 2021)
2019
Report
How Public Datasets Can Address Data Obstacles in Pay for Success: A Demonstration for Veterans With Service-Connected Disabilities
American Institutes for Research
2018
Journal
The Effects of Prekindergarten for Spanish-Speaking Dual Language Learners: Evidence from California's Transitional Kindergarten Program
Early Childhood Research Quarterly
Journal
Report
2017
Report
The Impact of Transitional Kindergarten on California Students: Final Report from the Study of California's Transitional Kindergarten Program
American Institutes for Research
Brief
The Impact of Transitional Kindergarten on California's Students: Summary of Findings
Research Brief, American Institutes for Research
Conference
The Relationship Between College Readiness and Early Mathematics and Reading Skills
AERA Annual Meeting, San Antonio, TX
Conference
Imputing 12th-Grade NAEP Mathematics Scores for the Full HSLS Sample
NCME Annual Meeting, San Antonio, TX
Conference
Constructing Math Motivation Factors and Testing Measurement Invariance
NCME Annual Meeting, San Antonio, TX
2016
Conference
Investigating SES Using the NAEP-HSLS Overlap Sample
NCME Annual Meeting, Washington, DC
2015
Journal
Report
School Composition and the Black–White Achievement Gap
NCES 2015-018, U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics
Report
School Composition and the Black–White Achievement Gap: Methodology Companion
NCES 2015-032, U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics
Report
Impact of California's Transitional Kindergarten Program, 2013–14
American Institutes for Research
Report
Teacher Effectiveness in Adult Education: The Relationship Between Teacher Characteristics and Students' Transitions Into Postsecondary Education
Report prepared for the Office of Career, Technical, and Adult Education (OCTAE); American Institutes for Research
Conference
Grades 8 and 12 NAEP Science Benchmarks for College Readiness
AERA Annual Meeting, Chicago, IL
Conference
Enhancing Accessibility for Students With Disabilities in Large-Scale Reading Assessments
AERA Annual Meeting, Chicago, IL
Conference
Impact of Girls' Opportunities to Access Learning (GOAL) on Student Enrollment and School Conditions
Comparative and International Education Society (CIES) Conference, Washington, DC
2014
Conference
What Do NAEP Mathematics Achievement Levels Mean? Evidence from Early Childhood Longitudinal Survey
AERA Annual Meeting, San Francisco, CA
Conference
Impacts of a Program to Improve Girls' Enrollment and Persistence in Liberia Elementary Schools
Society for Research on Educational Effectiveness (SREE), Washington, DC
2013
Conference
Student Engagement on the Grade 12 NAEP Mathematics Assessment: Evidence from the 2009 High School Transcript Study
AERA Annual Meeting, San Francisco, CA
2012
Chapter
China Financial Market Development Report 2009
Hoboken, NJ: Wiley Publishing
Conference
Examining 12th-Graders' Engagement/Motivation in NAEP Mathematics Assessment Using Data From High-Stakes Assessments
AERA Annual Meeting, Vancouver, BC, Canada
Conference
The Validity of Student Reported Parental Education
AERA Annual Meeting, Vancouver, BC, Canada
2011
Conference
Deciphering SES: Understanding the Association Between SES and Student Background Variables in NAEP
AERA Annual Meeting, New Orleans, LA
2010
Report
Examining 12th-Graders' Engagement/Motivation in NAEP Mathematics Assessment Using Data From High-Stakes Assessments
Study Report, NAEP Education Statistics Services Institute, Washington, DC
Report
Predicting Difficulty of NAEP Reading Items With Coh-Metrix Factors and Readability Indices
Study Report, NAEP Education Statistics Services Institute, Washington, DC
Report
Early Childhood Reading Performance and Proficiency in NAEP Eighth-Grade Reading Assessment
Study Report, NAEP Education Statistics Services Institute, Washington, DC
Conference
Using SAS for Design of Experiments: An Unbalanced Incomplete Block Design
NorthEast SAS Users Group (NESUG) Conference, Baltimore, MD
Conference
A Statistical Linkage Between NAEP and ECLS-K Grade 8 Reading Assessments
Fifth Annual IES Research Conference, National Harbor, MD
Conference
Factor Analysis of Reading Indices and Its Application to NAEP Reading Assessment
Annual Convention of the Association for Psychological Science, Boston, MA
Conference
Beyond NDE: Understanding and Working with National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) Restricted-Use Data
Training session, AERA Annual Meeting, Denver, CO
Conference
Factors Affecting the Enrollment and Graduation Rates for Science and Engineering Degrees Across Countries
AERA Annual Meeting, Denver, CO
Conference
A Statistical Linkage Between NAEP and ECLS Grade Eight Reading Assessments
AERA Annual Meeting, Denver, CO
Conference
Understanding the Association Between the National School Lunch Program, SES, and Reading Among Grade 8 Students in NAEP
AERA Annual Meeting, Denver, CO
Conference
Shifting Demographics: Preparing for a New Race Ethnicity Classification Scheme in NAEP
Population Association of America (PAA) Annual Meeting, Dallas, TX
2009
Tech memo
A Statistical Link Between NAEP and ECLS-K Grade Eight Reading Assessments
Technical Memorandum, NAEP Education Statistics Services Institute, Washington, DC
Conference
Investigating the Relationship Between Passage Characteristics and Item Difficulty in NAEP Reading Assessment
AERA Annual Meeting, San Diego, CA
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